When Will Eb2 India Dates Move Again
USCIS wasted about 25% of Green card numbers in 2021. Volition they utilize more this year or will improve their record of wasting more this yr? Simply time will tell.
As per an approximate by David Bier of CATO institute, this 25% wastage is illegal and volition upshot in an additional 11.5 years of waiting time for Indians.
At this time, the visa bulletin is racing ahead in the EB2 queue while EB3 is continuing yet and watching patiently.
What this may also mean is that one time they are able to find (peradventure in Oct 2022 bulletin – only USCIS knows) that people in EB3 accept already got GC using the EB2 queue, the EB3 queue may be moved forward and may have a practiced jump.
If we go past this logic, both EB2 and EB3 should stay close to each other within 3 months.
Nosotros believe that this may happen in the starting time one-half of the fiscal twelvemonth i.e. after October 2022.
At this fourth dimension, at that place is no information available to know if in that location volition be whatever new spillover in October 2022 from the family to employment-based category. Nosotros are hoping that information technology may happen as the U.s.a. embassies around the globe are all the same not working at full capacity and hence may not be able to utilize all family-based GC numbers.
This article will talk over:
- Predictions for 2022
- Predictions – India – Concluding Activity
- Visa Bulletin Prediction App (Next 12 months)
- Gauge My Greenish Card Date
- Family-based to Employment-Based Spillover
Predictions for 2022
The best case means USCIS wastes only less than x% of Greenish card numbers. The average scenario is when USCIS volition not use at least 25% of light-green cards.
The worst case is when USCIS will lose fifty% of Green bill of fare numbers forever.
Predictions – Bharat – Final Activeness
| Bulletin | Date |
|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Jun 21, 2012 |
| Jul 2022 | November 25, 2012 |
| Aug 2022 | May 4, 2013 |
| Sep 2022 | Oct xv, 2013 |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 12, 2013 |
| Nov 2022 | Dec 10, 2013 |
| Dec 2022 | January 7, 2014 |
| Jan 2023 | Feb 4, 2014 |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 4, 2014 |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 30, 2014 |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 29, 2014 |
| May 2023 | May 30, 2014 |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 29, 2014 |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 29, 2014 |
| Bulletin | Appointment |
|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Nov 12, 2013 |
| Jul 2022 | January 2, 2014 |
| Aug 2022 | February 26, 2014 |
| Sep 2022 | April 23, 2014 |
| Oct 2022 | May 1, 2014 |
| Nov 2022 | May x, 2014 |
| December 2022 | May 17, 2014 |
| Jan 2023 | May 25, 2014 |
| February 2023 | Jun 3, 2014 |
| Mar 2023 | Jun 10, 2014 |
| Apr 2023 | Jun 18, 2014 |
| May 2023 | Jun 26, 2014 |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 6, 2014 |
If you have already filed your i485 but have not submitted the medicals, we strongly recommend interfiling the i693 form and improving your chances of getting a Greenish carte earlier than others in the queue.
Our predictions are based on these numbers that we think are possible. You lot can estimate dates based on your own understanding as well.
Visa Bulletin Prediction App (Next 12 months)
We have created an artificial intelligence app that tries to count the visa numbers based on publicly bachelor i140 data from USCIS and then mimics the per month visa allocation based on various factors.
Visa Message Predictions App >
This helps us get estimated dates and projected path of VB dates based on spillovers shown equally EB2 FAPD (EB2 Concluding Activity prediction) and EB3 FAPD (EB3 Concluding Activity Prediction).
Spillovers happen in this order:
- EB4 and EB5 actress green cards are given to EB1.
- EB1'south unused GC numbers are given to EB2 ROW (The remainder of the world).
- EB2's ROW is shared horizontally with backlogged countries like India and China. The most backlogged country gets the most GCs equally per the best agreement.
- EB3 ROW is supposed to get unused GC from EB2 which is virtually impossible since EB2 India and Cathay take huge backlogs.
- EB3 does not spill over to anyone as per our agreement.
In a nutshell, this is the funnel for spillovers within employment-based categories:
- Unused EB4+EB5 ->
- EB1 ROW ->
- Unused EB1 ->
- EB2 ROW ->
- EB2 Backlogged (most backlogged first) ->
- EB3 ROW ->
- EB3 Backlogged (most backlogged outset)
If you desire to sympathize how this whole setup works, head over to the HappySchools weblog who has explained spillover sharing details inside EB categories in a actually simple way.
Estimate My Light-green Card Date
Y'all can approximate your ain green card appointment based on the aforementioned AI algorithm which we utilise for predicting visa bulletins.
- Visit the My Light-green Card Guess App hither.
- Enter your country of nascence and employment-based GC category. Y'all can leave the options equally default.
- Click the 'Estimate My GC Date' button and encounter the visa bulletin that may get you the Green menu.
This is what the estimated values expect like.
This will help you brand a determination with respect to filing EB2 to EB3 downgrade and collecting documents for filing i485 if you have a good chance of getting current in near future.
Many people would demand the NABC (non-availability of birth certificate) to file the i-485 awarding and am22tech is helping with it for a small-scale fee.
Utilize the coupon code DWHF5RQ6 to get a $29.99 discount on the am22tech's NABC certificate service.
Family unit-based to Employment-Based Spillover
There is no clear dominion which can define how family unit-based spillovers are divided amid employment-based categories from EB1 to EB5.
The all-time possible explanation that we could detect was on this B3 blog based on their understanding of US clearing laws.
Only, so the author was not able to depict a concrete picture or a mathematical formula every bit to how the final numbers are divided and hence has left the readers to read Charles Oppenheim'southward listen.
Our app has merged all the light-green bill of fare dates calculation logic and has tried to observe a possible path that future visa bulletins will take. This will change with each new visa bulletin as the new information is made available by USCIS.
Commonly, if there are Green Cards left in the EB1 category, the spillover to EB2.
If we look at the final couple of years' data, the EB1 Bharat itself is backlogged thereby leaving EB2 India with just the basic quota of two,879 green cards per year.
- If y'all have an average family unit size of 3, the total employment-based GCs would come down to a mere 959.
- With only 959 Green cards issued every yr to EB2 India on average from 2017 to 2020, the GC look times skyrocketed to 151 years as explained below.
- At present, those extra 120k greenish cards are available between October 2020 and Sep 2021, EB1 stands to clear its queue and the chances are very good that EB2 + EB3 Bharat volition get almost 17k extra Greenish cards each after sharing information technology with other backlogged countries.
You should exist ready to file i-485 documents if the dates motion forward apace equally the window might not stay open for long.
How to Get a Green Card Fast?
Unless the US Immigration law is changed, to remove country-based GC limits with a constabulary like S386, there is no real possibility of any Indian joining the EB2 Green card queue, to get a Green bill of fare in his/her lifetime.
#one Us Citizen Kid Sponsor
To circumvent this 150-year wait, your Adult Usa citizen child can sponsor you one time he/she turns 21.
This will requite yous a Green carte immediately every bit at that place is neither any yearly limit nor any priority date waiting for firsthand relatives of United states citizens.
#two EB2 to EB3 Downgrade
Republic of india EB2 to EB3 downgrades are possible.
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Source: https://www.am22tech.com/eb2-india-predictions/#:~:text=Retrogression%20in%20EB2%20is%20expected%20by%20Sep%2022.&text=USCIS%20wasted%20about%2025%25%20of%20Green%20card%20numbers%20in%202021.
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